Recession Panic Triggers "Black Monday": Stocks and Crypto Plummet, Did Hayes's Prediction Come True?
Original Title: "Recession Panic Triggers 'Black Monday': Stocks and Coins Plunge, Hayes' Prediction Comes True?"
Original Author: Mary Liu, via BitpushNews
The bubble of "Buying Stocks and Relaxing" seems to be bursting.
Amid negative sentiments such as growing concerns about a U.S. economic recession, the U.S. stock market experienced a 'Black Monday' with the Dow falling 2% at the close of the day, the S&P 500 dropping 2.7%, and the Nasdaq plummeting 4%. Tesla (TSLA.O) crashed 15.4%, Apple (AAPL.O) fell nearly 5%, and Nvidia (NVDA.O) dropped 5%.
In the crypto market, BTC fell below the $80,000 mark for the second time in three weeks, reaching a low of $77,400 in the past 24 hours, while ETH revisited around $1800, and the total crypto market cap dropped by nearly 4%.
Arthur Hayes, the co-founder of BitMEX and a well-known figure in the crypto space, seems to be witnessing his earlier prediction coming true. He had forecasted that Bitcoin might drop to $75,000, and as market sentiment worsens, this prediction is becoming increasingly credible.

In his latest tweet, Hayes reiterated that Bitcoin might further decline to $75,000 and warned, "If it enters this range, the market will experience severe volatility." He pointed out that the open interest near $75,000 has raised a 'red flag,' indicating an extremely pessimistic market sentiment.

Trump's Few Words Upend the Market, U.S. Economy Shadowed by Recession
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated in an interview with CNBC on Friday that as the new administration reduces government spending, the U.S. economy may go through a "detox period."
In a Fox News interview aired on Sunday, Trump also responded to the possibility of an economic recession, stating that the economy is in a "transition period."

Trump said: "I have to build a strong nation; you can't just focus on the stock market."
Goldman Sachs has significantly lowered its economic growth forecast recently due to the potential impact of tariffs, further intensifying the market's pessimism about the U.S. economic outlook. New York Fed data shows that the February one-year inflation expectation is at 3.13%, and the expectation for the financial situation to worsen over the next year is the strongest since November 2023.
CFRA Research Chief Investment Strategist Sam Stovall told CNBC: "We are in the midst of a man-made adjustment. I call it a man-made adjustment because it is really in response to the new government tariff plan or at least the tariff threat, and what impact that will have on the economy."
Institutional analysis suggests that if the economic recession fears triggered by the trade war materialize, the Federal Reserve may begin a series of rapid rate cuts in June. The futures market has bet on rate cuts of 25 basis points in June, July, and October.
SGH Macro Advisors Chief U.S. Economist Tim Duy warned that if there is a labor or financial market slump, the Fed will face a dual risk: to deal with inflation and withstand Trump's pressure for rate cuts. However, whether rate cuts can save market confidence remains unknown.
Analyst: Bitcoin Needs to Experience a "Mini Recession" Before Rebounding
Institutional investors are exiting the crypto market, with crypto investment products seeing net outflows for the fourth consecutive week. According to CoinShares' data, crypto funds saw $867 million in outflows last week, totaling $4.75 billion over four weeks. Most of the bearish sentiment is coming from the U.S., with U.S. investors withdrawing $922 million last week.
NFT marketplace Mintology CEO Zach Burks stated that due to inflation concerns and Bitcoin's waning appeal as a "Trump trade," Bitcoin could drop to $72,000. He noted: "Many investors are pulling out of Bitcoin, viewing it as a high-risk asset for the first time since Trump took office."
Burks believes that Bitcoin has failed to decouple from the U.S. stock market, losing its function as a store of value tool. Instead, investors are turning to traditional safe-haven assets like gold. He predicts that although Bitcoin may rebound to $110,000 this year, the market must first weather this "mini recession" caused by Trump's policies.
EY Economist Gregory Daco told CNN that the uncertainty and chaos of Trump's policies are not helping the overall economic situation. He said: "The current situation is one of policy ambiguity, policy intent ambiguity, and policy objective ambiguity, all of which combined make investors anxious because where the policy is ultimately going is still unclear."
So, in this environment, Don't Fight it, Float with It. In the face of the storm, true wisdom may not be to fight against the current but to choose to drift with it safely, building strength before the storm hits.
You may also like
Circle CEO responds to OUSD's challenge: Stablecoins are a winner-takes-all business, and we will not slow down
Argentina vs Cape Verde: When a Record-Breaking Legend Meets an Unbreakable Underdog
WEEX exclusive pre-match analysis of Argentina vs Cape Verde, exploring Messi-led Argentina’s dominance and Cape Verde’s historic defensive breakout, with a breakdown of volatility, structure, and match dynamics.
How does Gate redo "buying and selling stocks" from the cryptocurrency world to the stock market?
Former ByteDance employee's account: How I started with two Pinduoduo hard drives and made six times the profit with Seagate to achieve financial freedom?
Visa and Mastercard join 140 giants to launch a new stablecoin, but the impact on the market landscape may still be limited
WEEX Launches Depth Chart for Spot Trading
MiCA reshuffle begins, Binance temporarily bids farewell to the EU
Raising interest rates to protect STRC and selling coins to maintain credit, this time the strategy has chosen the two most expensive paths
Morning Report | Samsung announces a 265.5 trillion won investment plan, focusing on semiconductor and AI computing power data centers; Vitalik publishes an article detailing the entire technology tree behind the confusion protocol (iO) mainline
In the era of AI, what is left of Bitcoin?
NeoSoul announced plans to integrate with the OKX Agentic Wallet, promoting AI agents' participation in the on-chain economy
Why Is Bitcoin Lagging Stocks in 2026? AI Stocks, ETF Outflows, and the Nasdaq Rally Explained
What you bought on CEX is really not US stocks: Analyzing the 94% liquidation monopoly and the evaporation of equity under a five-layer pipeline
In such a crowded cross-border payment arena, where is the next stop for the future?
Why Is Bitcoin Down in 2026? What We Can Learn From 2022
The large models in the United States are moving towards closure in the name of security
From the white-haired stock god to the billionaire fund mogul, the smart people shorting Nvidia are all getting rich using the same framework
Morning Report | CoinEx becomes a key hub for Iran to evade sanctions, involving over $3.8 billion in funds; Kalshi seeks a new round of financing, with a valuation potentially rising to $40 billion
Circle CEO responds to OUSD's challenge: Stablecoins are a winner-takes-all business, and we will not slow down
Argentina vs Cape Verde: When a Record-Breaking Legend Meets an Unbreakable Underdog
WEEX exclusive pre-match analysis of Argentina vs Cape Verde, exploring Messi-led Argentina’s dominance and Cape Verde’s historic defensive breakout, with a breakdown of volatility, structure, and match dynamics.

